My personal goal is to be 3-0 this week, before any NCAA tournament games are played.
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We started the week off with a winning pick on Monday in a CIT game, where we cleared the posted total by nearly 25 points.
Today, I'm stepping things up to the NIT, but I'm still looking for compelling totals that should trend toward the under. Just like yesterday, I've found another great candidate.
Vermont at Middle Tennessee (-6), 8 p.m. EST
This is another pick exactly in the mold of what we bet yesterday, with two slow-it-down teams playing a game with minimal prep time.
For reference, Vermont ranks 340th in pace of play and 130th in adjusted defensive efficiency, per KenPom; Middle Tennessee ranks 262nd in pace of play and 31st in adjusted defensive efficiency.
The total here is 137, but I'm expecting a game in the 120s. That's a big cushion between posted and expected totals, so this looks like another strong bet.
Pick: Vermont/Middle Tennessee Under 137