For the first time ever, the Free Pick is going to pucker up.
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We got a little bit of everything on our Sunday SuperCard. Ohtani's start in Kansas City got pushed because of snow; the Padres clobbered the Giants; Paul George had 36 points in an OKC win over the Jazz. We went 1-1-1.
With only two NBA games on the docket for Monday night and a lack of enticing MLB lines, we're headed to the ice to dominate a questionable line.
Bruins at Maple Leafs, 7:00 p.m. EST
Before I bet a line I think is questionable, I always try to deduce what the catch might be. Here, in a series where Toronto has been absolutely abused by the Bruins, you'll find the Maple Leafs somewhere between even odds and a -115 favorite. So what gives?
Well, in hockey and basketball, plenty of series turn once the underdog team gets to return home. Gamblers are often counting on what they've seen happen to continue happening; bookmakers are betting on a momentum swing.
There's a reason Vegas always wins, but in this case, the smart bet is actually to continue to side with Boston. The Bruins haven't looked threatened for one minute in this series, and to complicate matters for Toronto, Leafs center Nazem Kadri (32g, 23a) is still suspended for a brutal boarding penalty against Tommy Wingels back in Game 1.
Boston is rolling. Toronto is overmatched. Take the Bruins at the best price you can find. We'll grade this bet at -110, which was the line over at MyBookie as of this writing.
Pick: Boston -110
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