There are 44 games today, Wednesday, February 7 in college basketball. Yesterday, Tuesday, our value picks were 4-0 on the spread and 3-2 on the O/U; for a combined 7-2 on the day.
There are only two spread picks today as the Vegas lines seemed to be pretty much right in line with the Bennett Line for most games.
TODAY February 6: Bennett Pick Summary
BENNETT Spread Picks:
Wofford -10.5 over Samford
Villanova -17 over Saint John's (NY)
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BENNETT Over/Under Picks:
No. 1: NC State @ Virginia Tech +161 UNDER
No. 2: UNLV @ Nevada +163 UNDER
No 3: Virginia @ Florida State +131 OVER
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Daily, we recommend 1-10 games that have the most differential between the Bennett Spread and the Vegas Spread, and some games with a significant over/under differential which is way off what our models suggest. When there are more games played, we tend to have more Bennett Value Picks.
The Bennett Power Score (BPS) was created as a point spread predictor on a neutral court. BPS is based on adjusted margins of victory and strength of schedule for games played to date. More recent games are weighted more heavily. These are updated twice daily as scores are reported and are the foundation for BennettRank (BR). BR ranks all major college sports and divisions twice daily. See all current basketball rankings here.
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BENNETT SPREAD PICKS
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Wofford -10.5 over Samford
| TEAM | Bennett Rank | BPS | VEGAS Line | BENNETT Line | LAST 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samford | 309 |
68.5 |
+10 | +13.4 | 4-1 |
| @ Wofford | 156 | 79.0 | -10 | -13.4 | 1-4 |
| Neutral Court Spread | -10.5 |
Wofford will win, but by how much? We see them winning by 10 on a neutral court which is the current Vegas Line. Home court advantage goes to Wofford. We like the Terriers. They are coming off two road losses, are the much higher ranked team, and will want to make a statement in front of friendly confines. This will be Samford's third road game in a row. They didn't play well the last time out, losing badly (71-88) to BennettRank #270 Western Carolina. They won't regroup in time to cover this spread.
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Villanova -17 over Saint John's (NY)
| TEAM | Bennett Rank | BPS | VEGAS Line | BENNETT Line | LAST 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint John's (NY) | 100 |
82.7 |
+17 | +20.3 | 4-1 |
| @ Villanova | 1 | 100.0 | -17 | -20.3 | 1-4 |
| Neutral Court Spread | -17.3 |
You have to give it to the Red Storm — they have played a tough, tough schedule, coming in at BennettRank SoS #2. They have lost four of their last 5 but 3 of those losses have been to top 25 teams. A bright spot, and a reason to pause, is last game they went out and beat BennettRank #5 Duke! Go figure! That will be their last big win of the year as Villanova will certainly now not overlook them, and, after all, Villanova is #1 in all the polls across the board. They have something to prove and at home I'm afraid they will be able to run it up a bit.
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BENNETT OVER/UNDER PICKS
| TEAM | VEGAS | BENNETT | BET |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State @ Virginia Tech | 161 | 154 | UNDER |
| UNLV @ Nevada | 163 | 156 | UNDER |
| Virginia @ Florida State | 131 | 138 | OVER |
