The New Orleans Saints are 10-2 and in position for a first-round bye (and potentially home-field advantage throughout the playoffs) but in terms of NFL betting they haven't been a good against-the-spread team this season
Entering their Week 14 home game against the San Francisco 49ers, the Saints are just 3-3 at home against the spread, compared to a fantastic 5-1 against the spread on the road. The Saints are a 2.5-point favorite in their second-to-last home game of the season. After hosting the 49ers, they stay in New Orleans for a Week 15 game against the Colts before closing with back-to-back road games against the Titans and Panthers.
The 49ers, meanwhile, are one of the better road against-the-spread teams in the NFL this season, posting a 4-2 ATS mark in their first six road games. They managed to cover the +6 spread in Baltimore in Week 13, losing on a last-second Justin Tucker field goal to drop to 10-2 and into a tie with the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC West, where it appears likely a 12-win (or 13-win) team will be forced to settle for a Wild Card, which will be played at the NFC East champion.
If the 49ers and Seahawks finish tied for the division, the NFL runs through a series of tiebreakers, the first of which is head-to-head matchups, which currently favors the Seahawks, who won in Santa Clara on Nov. 11. The teams meet again in Seattle in Week 17. If the 49ers win and have the same record, these tiebreakers will be used.
The Saints entered the season with the third-best Super Bowl odds (+1,000), only behind the Chiefs (+600) and Patriots (+400), while the 49ers were buried with the 16th-best odds (+4,000). By midseason, however, those odds shifted dramatically for the 49ers. The Saints remained the third-best odds but the 49ers skyrocketed up to +1,300, the seventh-highest odds. And after Week 14, the Super Bowl odds received another shake-up following losses by the 49ers and Patriots.
Also of note: The Saints secured their third straight 10-win season last weekend with a win over the Falcons, grabbing revenge for the bizarre home blowout loss to the Falcons three weeks earlier, while the 49ers have already more than doubled last year's win total and secured their first 10-win season since 2013, the last of three straight 10-win seasons.