Both New Mexico State and Liberty are coming off of Conference USA wins and are vying to jump up in the league standings today.
Liberty is 2-4 but snapped a four-game losing streak with a 19-8 win at UTEP. The Flames are still 1-1 in league play at this point, so they could still end up being in the mix for an appearance in the league championship.
New Mexico State has been a little more consistent. NMSU won its first two games, including a victory over Tulsa, before losing on the road to Louisiana Tech and New Mexico. But the Aggies bounced back and beat Sam Houston 37-10 to get back above .500.
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New Mexico State vs. Liberty Spread & Betting Odds
Liberty is a -10.5 college football betting odds favorite against New Mexico State, with the Over/Under being 46.5 as of this writing.
The moneyline for New Mexico State is +320, while it’s -425 for Liberty.
New Mexico State vs. Liberty On TV
The matchup between New Mexico State and Liberty will be televised on CBSSN.
The game will kick off at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Oct. 14. The contest is taking place at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia.
New Mexico State vs. Liberty Prediction
I predict New Mexico State will win and cover the 10.5-point spread. I also project the game will go Over 46.5 total points.
Considering the Flames are at home and have the better roster on paper, I thought about picking them to win. But, to me, this isn’t the type of team people thought it would be this preseason when Liberty was the favorite to win Conference USA.
New Mexico State, meanwhile, has exceeded my expectations.
NMSU quarterback Logan Fife has thrown for 1,272 yards, six touchdowns, and four interceptions on a 57% completion rate. Kadarius Calloway leads NMSU on the ground with 146 yards and two touchdowns.
Wide receiver Donovan Faupel leads the team with 23 catches for 312 yards while scoring one touchdown. Tight end Gavin Harris has added 16 catches for 234 yards and one TD, and PJ Johnson III has 215 yards and a team-high three touchdowns on 14 receptions.
I believe New Mexico State has enough talent on offense to give Liberty some problems.
I also think NMSU’s defense has bounced back after giving up 49 points and 38 points to Louisiana Tech and New Mexico, respectively, as the Aggies gave up just 10 against Sam Houston. NMSU allowed a combined 17 points in its first two contests, and I think the team will make some plays on that side of the ball in this matchup, too.
