Toledo vs. Miami (Ohio) Prediction, Betting Odds & How To Watch

Miami (Ohio) was in command at the top of the MAC standings just a week ago. But things have gotten more complicated since then.

The RedHawks looked like they had turned things around after losing three consecutive games to start the season. They won five straight with all of those games being decided by at least two possessions. 

Then Miami lost at Ohio 24-20, giving the RedHawks their first defeat in conference play. Miami is now 5-4 overall and 4-1 against MAC teams. There are currently two other teams – Buffalo and Western Michigan – which have just one conference loss.

Now the RedHawks have to host Toledo. At 5-4 and 3-2 in the conference standings, the Rockets still have an outside chance of making the MAC title game, but they absolutely have an opportunity to earn bowl-eligibility yet again.

This game could have massive implications for the MAC title race.

Toledo vs. Miami (Ohio) Betting Odds

Toledo is a -3.5 college football betting odds favorite against Miami (Ohio), with the Over/Under being 45.5 as of this writing. 

The moneyline for Toledo is -210, while it’s +175 for Miami.

Toledo vs. Miami (Ohio) On TV

The matchup between Toledo and Miami (Ohio) will be televised on ESPN2. 

The game will kick off at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Nov. 12. The contest is taking place at Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio.

Toledo vs. Miami (Ohio) Prediction

I predict Miami (Ohio) will win and therefore cover the 3.5-point spread. I also project the game will go Under 45.5 total points.

Toledo is superior in several statistical categories. The Rockets are first in the MAC in scoring offense (32.9 points per game), total offense (437.2 yards per game), scoring defense (14.6 points per game allowed), and total defense (232.6 yards per game allowed).

But the problem is Toledo hasn’t been very consistent. The Rockets haven’t won or lost more than three games in a row. And that discrepancy has depended on where they’ve played. Toledo is 0-4 on the road and 5-0 at home – and the Rockets are on the road for this one.

And it’s not like Miami is bad on either side of the ball. The RedHawks are among the top four teams in the MAC in total offense (359.4 YPG), total defense (327.9 YPG allowed), scoring offense (25.3 PPG), and scoring defense (21.7 PPG allowed).

Miami quarterback Dequan Finn also gets to take on his former team in this matchup. Finn was the MVP of the MAC while playing for Toledo two years ago before going to Baylor last year and then joining the RedHawks this season. I think he makes a number of impressive plays against the Rockets.

But I especially believe Miami’s defense, led by linebackers Corban Hondru and Jackson Kuwatch and defensive back Eli Blakey, will rise to the occasion and help the RedHawks bounce back for a win.