Another week, more losing bets! I went 2-3 on last week’s best bets (sigh), moving myself to 22-30-1 on the season.
While finishing above 50% on my wagers this season will take a monumental effort the rest of this month, we’re up for the challenge. I’m going to need a 5-0 week to put together a run for the ages. Let’s give it a shot and dive into the college football betting odds to find five winners.
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ODU +13.5 at Liberty
Should I stop fading Liberty by now? Yes. Will I? Absolutely not. Every Liberty win this season is against a CUSA or MAC team.
Old Dominion, while just 4-5, has four one-possession losses. The Monarchs recently played JMU, which is arguably the best team in the Group of Five, within three points on the road. I think they’ll give Liberty a close game on Saturday, and 13.5 points feels like far too many.
Give me the Monarchs to cover, and I’d consider playing them to win outright, too.
FAU -8 vs. ECU
Florida Atlantic needs to go 2-1 in its final three games to make a bowl game. East Carolina is 1-8 on the year. My simple mind believes the Owls are a decent AAC team, and I’m not sure ECU has much of anything to play for at this point in the year.
I’ll take the motivated home team to win by more than a touchdown against one of the AAC’s worst teams this season.
Wyoming +5.5 at UNLV
I love UNLV’s story, as the Rebels are an impressive 7-2. What a season! Still, Wyoming is a really good team capable of winning on the road. I’ll gladly take Wyoming as an underdog in this spot.
UNLV’s great story might continue, but if the Rebels win this one, it’ll be close. This is one of the Group of Five games worth watching this week, without question.
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San Jose State -1 vs. Fresno State
This line surprised me. I think San Jose State has been undervalued this season, and the game is at home for the Spartans, but Fresno State has the inside track to the Mountain West title game and a pair of wins over Power Five teams. So how is San Jose State favored??
I’ll go against my better judgment and take San Jose State in a spot where I think most public bettors will love Fresno State. The Bulldogs will take a loss this weekend, lending credibility to a spread I originally found puzzling.
Troy-ULM under 45.5
Troy has held conference opponents to 9.8 points per game. Will ULM even score Saturday? I expect a Troy blowout, with ULM struggling to reach 10 points. While the Trojans are one of the Sun Belt’s best, their offense isn’t a juggernaut by any means.
Look for Troy to lean on its solid running game and play stifling defense. I think the Trojans win comfortably, but they might be content winning by a score of something like 28-3 rather than 42-10. I like the under here, given Troy’s exceptional defense and willingness to burn clock on the ground.
Bennett Conlin is a college football contributor for HERO Sports, and he works full-time covering sports betting industry news and legislation for Sports Handle and US Bets.
