The Cleveland Browns selected a quarterback with the first pick in the 2018 NFL Draft and the New York Giants are now on the clock. The Giants are prepared to selected Saquon Barkley with the pick but are interested in moving down and have a potential trade partner in the Buffalo Bills, who are seeking a quarterback.
The Bills hold nine total picks, including the 12th and 20th, therefore have the ammunition to potentially move up. But what is a reasonable asking price? Both first-rounders? More?
Though pick value is based on dozens of variables and it's ultimately impossible for an outsider to weigh the pros and cons of moving a pick (or player), many teams still rely on a draft pick trade chart that awards a point value to each pick. The chart was originally created by former Dallas Cowboys' head coach Jimmy Johnson. It's since been altered by Chase Stuart of Football Perspective, Harvard students and others, and is used in many different variations across the league. Despite the variations and ambiguity, it remains a helpful tool for fans to evaluate potential trades.
DRAFT: Top Prospect from Each State
Using this year's chart, what is a fair price for the second pick?
The Giants' second pick is worth 2,600 points. The Bills' 12th and 22nd picks are worth 1,200 and 780, respectively, equaling 1,980, or 620 points below the second pick.
So — if the Bills don't wish to trade 2019 picks — let's add one of the second-round picks (No. 53) worth 370 points and a third-round pick (No. 65) worth 265 points. Total: 2,615.
Again, that doesn't guarantee the Giants would trade the second pick for the 12th, 22nd, 53rd and 65th picks but there's fair trade value in that proposal.
Here's the full trade chart for the 2018 NFL Draft:
Round | Pick | Team | Value |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | CLE | 3000 |
1 | 2 | NYG | 2600 |
1 | 3 | NYJ | 2200 |
1 | 4 | CLE | 1800 |
1 | 5 | DEN | 1700 |
1 | 6 | IND | 1600 |
1 | 7 | TB | 1500 |
1 | 8 | CHI | 1400 |
1 | 9 | SF | 1350 |
1 | 10 | OAK | 1300 |
1 | 11 | MIA | 1250 |
1 | 12 | BUF | 1200 |
1 | 13 | WAS | 1150 |
1 | 14 | GB | 1100 |
1 | 15 | ARI | 1050 |
1 | 16 | BAL | 1000 |
1 | 17 | LAC | 950 |
1 | 18 | SEA | 900 |
1 | 19 | DAL | 875 |
1 | 20 | DET | 850 |
1 | 21 | CIN | 800 |
1 | 22 | BUF | 780 |
1 | 23 | NE | 760 |
1 | 24 | CAR | 740 |
1 | 25 | TEN | 720 |
1 | 26 | ATL | 700 |
1 | 27 | NO | 680 |
1 | 28 | PIT | 660 |
1 | 29 | JAX | 640 |
1 | 30 | MIN | 620 |
1 | 31 | NE | 600 |
2 | 32 | PHI | 590 |
2 | 33 | CLE | 580 |
2 | 34 | NYG | 560 |
2 | 35 | CLE | 550 |
2 | 36 | IND | 540 |
2 | 37 | IND | 530 |
2 | 38 | TB | 520 |
2 | 39 | CHI | 510 |
2 | 40 | DEN | 500 |
2 | 41 | OAK | 490 |
2 | 42 | MIA | 480 |
2 | 43 | NE | 470 |
2 | 44 | WAS | 460 |
2 | 45 | GB | 450 |
2 | 46 | CIN | 440 |
2 | 47 | ARI | 430 |
2 | 48 | LAC | 420 |
2 | 49 | IND | 410 |
2 | 50 | DAL | 400 |
2 | 51 | DET | 390 |
2 | 52 | BAL | 380 |
2 | 53 | BUF | 370 |
2 | 54 | KC | 360 |
2 | 55 | CAR | 350 |
2 | 56 | BUF | 340 |
2 | 57 | TEN | 330 |
2 | 58 | ATL | 320 |
2 | 59 | SF | 310 |
2 | 60 | PIT | 300 |
2 | 61 | JAX | 292 |
2 | 62 | MIN | 284 |
2 | 63 | NE | 276 |
2 | 64 | CLE | 270 |
3 | 65 | BUF | 265 |
3 | 66 | NYG | 260 |
3 | 67 | IND | 255 |
3 | 68 | HOU | 250 |
3 | 69 | NYG | 245 |
3 | 70 | SF | 240 |
3 | 71 | DEN | 235 |
3 | 72 | NYJ | 230 |
3 | 73 | MIA | 225 |
3 | 74 | SF | 220 |
3 | 75 | OAK | 215 |
3 | 76 | GB | 210 |
3 | 77 | CIN | 205 |
3 | 78 | KC | 200 |
3 | 79 | ARI | 195 |
3 | 80 | HOU | 190 |
3 | 81 | DAL |