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Washington Will Still be in Good Position to the Make the Playoff if it Loses to Auburn

HERO Sports by HERO Sports
August 30, 2018
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Washington Will Still be in Good Position to the Make the Playoff if it Loses to Auburn

No team has lost their Week 1 game and made the College Football Playoff. Of the 16 playoff teams since 2014, only two have lost a game in September, and five of the 13 one-loss playoff teams didn't lose until November. Odds are not in the favor of teams who lose early, though the loser of the biggest Week 1 game this season — Washington vs. Auburn — can become the third September loser and the first Week 1 loser to make the playoff.

College Football Betting

A two-loss team will eventually make a four-team playoff, but the margin for error is thin, especially for a Washington team that plays only one top-25 (Sagarin Ratings) after Week 1 (vs. Stanford, Week 10). History, as shallow as it may be, however, is on their side if they finish 12-1. No one-loss Power Five conference champion (who played a conference championship game) has ever been left out of the College Football Playoff.

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Washington was in a similar situation in 2016. While they didn't play — or lose — a premier Week 1 game, they did lose a Week 11 game to a USC team that finished ninth in the CFP Rankings. They had a couple good wins over Stanford (18th in the Final CFP Rankings) and Utah (19th) but the rest of their regular-season schedule was laced with two- and three-win teams, a bucket that could be filled with UCLA, Colorado, Oregon State and others this season.

Date Opponent
Saturday, Sept. 1 vs. Auburn
Saturday, Sept. 8 vs. North Dakota
Saturday, Sept. 15 at Utah
Saturday, Sept. 22 vs. Arizona State
Saturday, Sept. 29 vs. BYU
Saturday, Oct. 6 at UCLA
Saturday, Oct. 13 at Oregon
Saturday, Oct. 20 vs. Colorado
Saturday, Oct. 27 at Cal
Saturday, Nov. 3 vs. Stanford
Saturday, Nov. 10 BYE
Saturday, Nov. 17 vs. Oregon State
Friday, Nov. 23 at Washington State
Friday, Nov. 23 Pac-12 Championship

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College Football Betting

In the 2016 Pac-12 Championship, Washington pummeled Colorado, who entered the game eighth in the Week 13 CFP Rankings (and finished 10th)to officially clinch a playoff spot. However, the Huskies would've likely earned a spot over Penn State with a worse win.

If they lose to Auburn in Week 1, win their other 11 regular-season games and, instead of beating a top-10 USC team in the Pac-12 Championship, beat a three-loss Utah or Arizona, Washington will make the College Football Playoff as a one-loss Power Five champion.

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