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NFL Draft: Low-Ranked Recruits Will Outnumber 4-Star, 5-Star Recruits in First Round

HERO Sports by HERO Sports
April 13, 2018
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NFL Draft: Low-Ranked Recruits Will Outnumber 4-Star, 5-Star Recruits in First Round

Harold Landry was the 421st-ranked player in the 2014 high school recruiting class. The weak-side defensive end from Fayetteville, N.C., was a three-star recruit who did carry some notable Power 5 offers (e.g. Auburn, Ohio State) but was largely overlooked. Four years and 26 sacks later, Landry is now a first-round NFL Draft prospect.

Seven hundred and forty-eight spots below Landry was a 6-foot-2, 190-pound safety with one Power 5 offer: Courtland Sutton. The three-star recruit from the tiny town of Brenham, Texas, was the 153rd-ranked player from the Lone Star State but is now a first-round NFL Draft prospect.

MORE: Top Prospect from Each State

Landry and Sutton are two of many former low-rated recruits (non-four- and five-star recruits) that should be selected in the first 32 picks of the 2018 NFL Draft. Those low-rated prospects will outnumber Josh Rosen, Derwin James and other former highly rated prospects. And while there are more three-star, two-star and unrated recruits than five-star and four-star recruits in each class, it's still notable that more low-ranked recruits could — and will, in this prediction — be selected in the first round.

Here's a first-round mock draft that contains 18 low-ranked players (three unranked, one two-star and 14 three-star) vs. 14 highly ranked players (six five-star, eight four-star). 

Pick Team Player Stars
1 Cleveland Browns Sam Darnold 4
2 New York Giants Josh Rosen 5
3 New York Jets Josh Allen None
4 Cleveland Browns Saquon Barkley 4
5 Denver Broncos Baker Mayfield 3
6 Indianapolis Colts Bradley Chubb 3
7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Minkah Fitzpatrick 5
8 Chicago Bears Quenton Nelson 4
9 San Francisco 49ers Tremaine Edmunds 3
10 Oakland Raiders Derwin James 5
11 Miami Dolphins Denzel Ward 4
12 Buffalo Bills Roquan Smith 4
13 Washington Redskins Vita Vea 3
14 Green Bay Packers Josh Jackson 3
15 Arizona Cardinals Kolton Miller 3
16 Baltimore Ravens Calvin Ridley 5
17 Los Angeles Chargers Da'Ron Payne 5
18 Seattle Seahawks Mike Hughes 3
19 Dallas Cowboys Courtland Sutton 3
20 Detroit Lions Leighton Vander Esch None
21 Cincinnati Bengals Mike McGlinchey 4
22 Buffalo Bills Lamar Jackson 3
23 New England Patriots Connor Williams 3
24 Carolina Panthers Harold Landry 3
25 Tennessee Titans Marcus Davenport 2
26 Atlanta Falcons Isaiah Wynn 4
27 New Orleans Saints Taven Bryan 3
28 Pittsburgh Steelers Rashaan Evans 5
29 Jacksonville Jaguars D.J. Moore 3
30 Minnesota Vikings James Daniels 4
31 New England Patriots Isaiah Oliver 3
32 Philadelphia Eagles Dallas Goedert None
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