If you're anything like the rest of the betting public, week 3 of the NFL season killed you at the sportsbook.
Just how bad was it? It was the greatest day in the history of numerous sportsbooks in Nevada.
Before we get to week 4 lines for the NFL and some predictions, let's review the nightmare that was week 3.
The good: I knew the Jets wouldn't go 0-16 against the line this year, and they not only covered against Miami but won outright.
The bad: I told you the Rams and 49ers Thursday night game would be a snoozer. Los Angeles' 41-39 win was anything but.
The ugly: I told you to take the Ravens and to always bet against the Jags no matter where the game is played. Jacksonville simply destroyed Baltimore 44-7 in London.
Let's get to week 4 and just pretend week 3 never happened. Cool?
[All spreads are courtesy of Sportsbook.ag. Lines fluctuate as bets are made, so check out their website for up-to-the-minute odds.]
Green Bay -7 vs. Chicago
I know it's a rivalry game and Green Bay didn't cover at home last week against Cincinnati, but roll with the Packers at Lambeau Field whenever you can.
New Orleans -3 vs. Miami in London
I don't know what to make of these London games after what happened last week.
I'm going with the Saints because it feels like it's time for Jay Cutler to get hurt or start caring even less (if that's possible).
New England -9.5 vs. Carolina
The betting public is still jocking the Patriots, which was evident last week when it was giving 14 to Houston and nearly lost.
Yes, the Panthers offense has been awful, but so has New England's horrible defense that has given up the most points in the league.
Dallas Cowboys -6.5 vs. Los Angeles Rams
It's time for the Rams to have a stinker of a game. Simple as that.
Minnesota -2 vs. Detroit
The Lions got robbed again last week in a last-second loss to Atlanta. I think they get revenge this week in Minnesota.
Tennessee -1 at Houston
The Titans look like this year's version of the 2016 Raiders: Cover, cover, and then cover some more.
Jacksonville -3.5 at New York Jets
Let's all calm down. The Jags aren't exactly Super Bowl contenders.
Take the Jets to cover for the second straight week.
Cincinnati -3 at Cleveland
Anyone who says they have this game pegged is lying.
Take … ummmm … the Browns? Sure, the Browns.
Pittsburgh -3 at Baltimore
In a battle of teams that stunk last week, I think the Steelers win by four and just barely cover.
Atlanta -8.5 vs. Buffalo
Betting public is also riding the heck out of Atlanta. The Bills have showed too much moxie to be this big of an underdog. Ride the Bills.
Tampa Bay -3 vs. New York Giants
I think the Giants showed a lot of guts last week in coming back against Philly, and I like them to win this game outright (moneyline +140).
Los Angeles Chargers -1 vs. Philadelphia
This line smells funnier than three-day old salmon left out in the rotting sun.
Somebody knows something .. and that someone isn't me. Take Philly.
Arizona -7 vs. San Francisco
Right, because the Cardinals have looked just so dominating this season.
Take the 49ers to keep it close.
Denver -3 vs. Oakland
I like Oakland to rebound and win this game on a late field goal.
Seattle -13 vs. Indianapolis
That's just too many points for a Seahawks offense that simply isn't clicking these days.
Plus, Colts QB Jacoby Brissett looks better and better each week. Take the Colts.
Kansas City -7 vs. Washington
Oh I'm sorry. Are the Chiefs defending Super Bowl champs or something?
Take the Redskins to cover.