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Did Kiper, McShay or Mayock Have Most Accurate 1st-Round Mock?

HERO Sports by HERO Sports
April 28, 2017
Did Kiper, McShay or Mayock Have Most Accurate 1st-Round Mock?

Click Here for 2019 Mock Draft Accuracy

The adjective of "mock" is defined as "not authentic or real, but without the intention to deceive". Yep, seems about right. 

The three biggest NFL Draft pundits, NFL Network's Mike Mayock and ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay did not intend to deceive football fans for the last year with their 2017 NFL Draft projections, but after a wild first round on Thursday night, it's very clear their many mock drafts were not authentic or real, especially the final editions.

UPDATE: This post is from 2017. Here's the link to see how accurate these mock drafters were in the 2018 NFL Draft.

The trio correctly picked 10 selections … combined.

All three hit on the two running backs selections, Leonard Fournette (Jacksonville Jaguars, No. 4) and Christian McCaffrey (Carolina Panthers, No. 8) but they missed on the two other consensus predictions, O.J. Howard (predicted New York Jets, No. 6; actual Tampa Bay Bucs, No. 19) and Jonathan Allen (predicted Cincinnati Bengals, No. 9; actual Washington Redskins, No. 17).

MORE: Former Top-10 Prospects Still Available in 2nd Round

Though the first round did feature nine swapped first-round picks, including the Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers in the top three — which ensured all three analysts botched both picks — once again we were reminded how impossible it is to predict the NFL draft.

Mayock and Kiper both had four selections correct, although one of Kiper's (Solomon Thomas, No. 3 to the San Francisco 49ers) was projected for a different team (Chicago Bears). However, Kiper was also the only one who picked a player below No. 20, linebacker Jarrad Davis to the Detroit Lions at No. 21.

Here's a full breakdown (*traded pick):

Pick Team Mike Mayock Mel Kiper Jr. Todd McShay Actual
1 Browns M. Garrett M. Trubisky M. Trubisky M. Garrett
2 Bears* J. Adams M. Garrett M. Garrett M. Trubisky
3 49ers* M. Lattimore S. Thomas J. Adams S. Thomas
4 Jaguars L. Fournette L. Fournette L. Fournette L. Fournette
5 Titans M. Trubisky (Browns) J. Adams M. Lattimore C. Davis
6 Jets O.J. Howard O.J. Howard O.J. Howard J. Adams
7 Chargers S. Thomas D. Watson S. Thomas M. Williams
8 Panthers C. McCaffrey C. McCaffrey C. McCaffrey C. McCaffrey
9 Bengals J. Allen J. Allen J. Allen J. Ross
10 Chiefs* R. Foster H. Reddick R. Foster P. Mahomes II
11 Saints C. Harris D. Barnett C. Harris M. Lattimore
12 Texans* J. Ross (Titans) M. Lattimore D. Barnett D. Watson
13 Cardinals M. Humphrey M. Williams M. Hooker H. Reddick
14 Eagles M. Williams C. Harris M. Williams D. Barnett
15 Colts D. Barnett T. McKinley H. Reddick M. Hooker
16 Ravens H. Reddick C. Davis F. Lamp M. Humphrey
17 Redskins T. McKinley M. Hooker D. Cook J. Allen
18 Titans A. Jackson J. Ross C. Davis A. Jackson
19 Bucs M. Hooker C. Robinson M. Humphrey O.J. Howard
20 Broncos R. Ramczyk R. Ramczyk R. Ramczyk G. Bolles
21 Lions C. Davis J. Davis D. Njoku J. Davis
22 Dolphins T.J. Watt R. Foster T. McKinley C. Harris
23 Giants G. Bolles D. Njoku G. Bolles E. Engram
24 Raiders C. Robinson K. King K. King G. Conley
25 Bronws* D. Watson P. Mahomes II D. Watson J. Peppers
26 Falcons* F. Lamp T. White C. Robinson T. McKinley
27 Bills* D. Cook E. Engram J. Davis T. White
28 Cowboys T. White M. Humphrey T. White T. Charlton
29 Browns* A. Kamara F. Lamp A. Jackson D. Njoku
30 Steelers J. Willis B. Baker E. Engram T.J. Watt
31 49ers* J. Peppers J. Willis J. Ross R. Foster
32 Saints P. Mahomes II (Cardinals) A. Jackson P. Mahomes II R. Ramczyk

*Pick was traded

 

 

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