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Visualizing a Power Five Split and Group of Five/FCS Merger

HERO Sports by HERO Sports
March 26, 2020
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Six years after the NCAA Division-I Board of Directors voted to allow schools in the Power Five conference to write many of their own rules (i.e. Power Five autonomy), we’re still asking the question: Would the Power Five split from the rest of the FBS?

“Is there a potential out there for the top-tier Power 5 schools to break off and do their own thing, and what might be perceived as a lower-tier Power 5 group sustain with everybody else?” Louisiana athletics director Bryan Maggard asked himself last year. “I think anything’s possible.”

Maggard’s comments echo a similar sentiment by most athletics directors, coaches, and others in and around college football over the last six years: It’s possible the ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, Pac-12, and SEC (and Notre Dame) split from the Group of Five to form their own division. 

What if that happened now? Right now.

What if Power Five power brokers announced the split today and unleashed a firestorm of realignment and desperation scrambling across the FBS…and the FCS. A split could ignite often-mentioned musings of North Dakota State, James Madison, and other strong FCS programs joining left-behind Group of Five programs in a new subdivision. 

HERO Sports FCS writer Sam Herder and I asked and answered that question: What if the Power Five split and strong FCS programs joined the Group of Five in a new subdivision? 

This a football-only exercise with football-only conferences. For example, James Madison is now an American football member but remains a full CAA member for men’s and women’s basketball, baseball and all other sports.

Scroll through for a conference-by-conference breakdown (including interactive maps) of the three new NCAA Division-I football subdivisions: Power Five, Group of Six, and FCS.


Power Five

The ACC, Big Ten, and SEC don’t change; each conference remains at 14 members. And Notre Dame remains an Independent, continuing its scheduling affiliation with the ACC. 

The Big 12, however, expands to 14 teams after accepting desperation pitches from Cincinnati, Houston, Memphis, and UCF, all of whom have been floated as potential Big 12 additions over the last decade. This expands the Big 12’s footprint to eight states and, unfortunately, eliminates the round-robin football schedule.

The Pac-12 added Boise State and negotiated with BYU but couldn’t agree to terms of scheduling and media rights, leaving the conference to pluck San Diego State, who lands in the Power Five four years after failing to woo the Big 12. -Andrew Doughty


Group of Six

American

The American has a new look with some current teams remaining along with a number of FCS teams making the jump up.

James Madison, Delaware and Villanova make the most sense coming out of the CAA. Kennesaw State is a rapidly growing young program. And North Carolina A&T has big aspirations for its program and would certainly join the new-look Group of Six subdivision. -Sam Herder

TeamFormer Conference
Appalachian StateSun Belt
CharlotteConference USA
DelawareCAA
East CarolinaAmerican
James MadisonCAA
Kennesaw StateBig South
LibertyFBS Independent
NavyAmerican
North Carolina A&TMEAC*
South FloridaAmerican
TempleAmerican
TulaneAmerican
TulsaAmerican
VillanovaCAA

*North Carolina A&T was scheduled to join the Big South in 2021.


Conference USA

After Charlotte bolted for the new American, Conference USA landed one of the most sought-after realignment free agents, SMU, a former Conference USA member and natural geographical fit who becomes the fifth Texas school in the 14-team conference. 

It will be the fifth conference in the last 26 seasons for SMU, who played in Conference USA from 2005-12. -Andrew Doughty

TeamFormer Conference
Florida AtlanticConference USA
Florida InternationalConference USA
Louisiana TechConference USA
MarshallConference USA
Middle TennesseeConference USA
North TexasConference USA
Old DominionConference USA
RiceConference USA
SMUAmerican
Southern MissConference USA
UABConference USA
UTEPConference USA
UTSAConference USA
Western KentuckyConference USA

Flyover States

Andrew and I are from Minnesota, went to college in Kansas and North Dakota, respectively, and currently live in Minnesota, so we hope folks get a kick out of the Flyover States Conference name instead of being offended.

This conference would be a blast as the two MAC schools are joined by some of the strongest FCS programs from the Big Sky and MVFC. -Sam Herder

TeamFormer Conference
Ball StateMAC
IdahoBig Sky
Illinois StateMissouri Valley
Montana Big Sky
Montana StateBig Sky
North Dakota StateMissouri Valley
Northern IllinoisMAC
Northern IowaMissouri Valley
South Dakota StateMissouri Valley
Weber StateBig Sky

MAC

Ball State and Northern Illinois aren’t founding MAC members — Ball State joined in 1973, Northern Illinois joined in 1975 (and left in 1986 before returning in 1997 — but it still hurt to watch them bail for the high-potential Flyover States Conferences.

The MAC reportedly wasn’t interested in UConn as a football-only member when the Huskies announced their American departure last year. They rethink during this wave of realignment and expand their footprint into Connecticut and Tennessee. -Andrew Doughty

TeamFormer Conference
AkronMAC
Bowling GreenMAC
BuffaloMAC
Central MichiganMAC
ChattanoogaSouthern
Eastern MichiganMAC
Kent StateMAC
Miami (OH)MAC
OhioMAC
ToledoMAC
UConnFBS Independent
Western MichiganMAC

Mountain West

Dan Hawkins was long gone from Boise State when the Broncos jumped from the WAC to Mountain West in 2011 but now the fourth-year UC Davis head coach gets to replace his former program in the Mountain West.

The Mountain West took a few body blows in losing Boise State and San Diego State (and failing to rekindle an old romance with BYU) but retained 10 members and added a strong FCS program in UC Davis. -Andrew Doughty

TeamFormer Conference
Air ForceMountain West
Colorado SateMountain West
Fresno StateMountain West
Hawai’iMountain West
NevadaMountain West
New MexicoMountain West
New Mexico StateFBS Independent
San Jose StateMountain West
UNLVMountain West
UC DavisBig Sky
Utah StateMountain West
WyomingMountain West

Sun Belt

Jacksonville State, Nicholls and Sam Houston State join the Sun Belt and realistically would compete very well. They already beat out some of these schools for recruits. -Sam Herder

TeamFormer Conference
Arkansas StateSun Belt
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt
Georgia SouthernSun Belt
Georgia StateSun Belt
Jacksonville StateOhio Valley
LouisianaSun Belt
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt
NichollsSouthland
Sam Houston StateSouthland
South AlabamaSun Belt
Texas StateSun Belt
TroySun Belt

Independents

Liberty jumped at a conference invite, as did New Mexico State with a more geographically compatible Mountain West after leaving the Sun Belt two years ago. UConn found a football-only membership in the MAC, and Notre Dame is the only Independent in the new Power Five.

That leaves Army, BYU, and UMass as the lone Independents. Army passed on the American, BYU couldn’t agree to terms with the Pac-12 and passed on the Mountain West, and UMass rejected an unattractive pity offer from the MAC. -Andrew Doughty

TeamFormer Conference
ArmyFBS Independent
BYUFBS Independent
UMassFBS Independent

FCS​

For the most part, the FCS conferences look the same but decreased in size when 18 FCS programs bolted for the Group of Six. Unfortunately, with Kennesaw State and NC A&T making the jump, the Big South dissolved and the remaining members joined the Southland, SoCon or OVC.

Other movement included Eastern Illinois joining the MVFC from the OVC for number of teams purposes. Also, current independents Dixie State (Utah) joined the Big Sky and Tarleton State (Texas) joined the Southland. -Sam Herder

Big Sky

TeamFormer Conference
Cal PolyBig Sky
Dixie StateFCS Independent
Eastern WashingtonBig Sky
Idaho StateBig Sky
Northern ArizonaBig Sky
Northern ColoradoBig Sky
Portland StateBig Sky
Sacramento StateBig Sky
Southern UtahBig Sky

CAA

TeamFormer Conference
AlbanyCAA
ElonCAA
MaineCAA
New HampshireCAA
Rhode IslandCAA
RichmondCAA
Stony BrookCAA
TowsonCAA
William & MaryCAA

Ivy League

TeamFormer Conference
BrownIvy League
ColumbiaIvy League
CornellIvy League
DartmouthIvy League
HarvardIvy League
PennIvy League
PrincetonIvy League
YaleIvy League

MEAC

TeamFormer Conference
Bethune-CookmanMEAC
Delaware StateMEAC
Florida A&MMEAC
HowardMEAC
Morgan StateMEAC
Norfolk StateMEAC
North Carolina CentralMEAC
South Carolina StateMEAC

Missouri Valley

TeamFormer Conference
Eastern IllinoisOhio Valley
Indiana StateMissouri Valley
Missouri StateMissouri Valley
North DakotaMissouri Valley
South DakotaMissouri Valley
Southern IllinoisMissouri Valley
Western Illinois
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