HEROSPORTS
  • Home
  • FCS
    • FCS Home
    • Big South-OVC
    • Big Sky
    • CAA
    • Ivy
    • MEAC
    • MVFC
    • NEC
    • Patriot
    • Pioneer
    • SoCon
    • Southland
    • SWAC
    • UAC
  • FBS
    • FBS Home
    • AAC Football
    • CUSA Football
    • MAC Football
    • Mountain West Football
    • Sun Belt Football
  • College Basketball
  • Register at BetMGM
  • BetMGM Promotions
  • More
    • About HERO Sports
    • Contact
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • FCS
    • FCS Home
    • Big South-OVC
    • Big Sky
    • CAA
    • Ivy
    • MEAC
    • MVFC
    • NEC
    • Patriot
    • Pioneer
    • SoCon
    • Southland
    • SWAC
    • UAC
  • FBS
    • FBS Home
    • AAC Football
    • CUSA Football
    • MAC Football
    • Mountain West Football
    • Sun Belt Football
  • College Basketball
  • Register at BetMGM
  • BetMGM Promotions
  • More
    • About HERO Sports
    • Contact
No Result
View All Result
HEROSPORTS
No Result
View All Result

Here is Why Crimson Tide Won’t Cover Against Arkansas State

HERO Sports by HERO Sports
September 6, 2018
Here is Why Crimson Tide Won’t Cover Against Arkansas State

Here are just a few FBS teams Alabama has routed at home and covered the spread against over the past decade: Ole Miss, Texas A&M, LSU, and Auburn. Counter that with an inability to cover against Colorado State and Western Kentucky (twice) and the likes of Florida International and one's antenna should be raised as high as the stars above.

College Football Betting

As legendary as Nick Saban is, he's only 58-53 against the spread during his time in Tuscaloosa, including 31-34 at home. His team also has a history over the past decade of failing to cover inside Bryant-Denny Stadium against Group of 5 opponents — many of which occurred after huge wins early in the season over nationally ranked Power 5 foes.

So why does Bama throttle USC 52-6 in 2016 as 13.5-point favorites but not against Western Kentucky the following week? It's due to what I've dubbed, "The Bama Theory."

When the Tide win a colossal showdown in-conference or against a ranked Power 5 squad, it often returns home to sludge its way to a nondescript win over the likes of North Texas. There's more at play here than complacency, however.

When Alabama dominates big-time opponents before facing Group of 5 programs at home, the betting public loves to jump all over Saban's crew. That inflates the point spreads dramatically. Throw in a few Crimson Tide turnovers, early appearances by second- and third-string players, and a score here and there by the opponent and voilà: Fans go home happy with a 41-0 victory but the betting public returns home with empty wallets.

I believe this same scenario plays out Saturday against 36-point underdogs Arkansas State?

[divider]
BETNOW: Get 100% Bonus
Alabama is No. 1; Who's No. 2?
Week 1 Under-the-Radar Studs[divider]

Check out Alabama's inability to cover at home to far inferior opponents over the past decade. 

Year Opponent Score Spread
2017 Fresno State 41-10 -42
2017 Colorado State 41-23 -29.5
2016 Western Kentucky 38-10 -28.5
2015 Middle Tennessee 37-10 -34.5
2015 Louisiana-Monroe 34-0 -37
2014 Southern Mississippi 51-12 -45.5
2013 Colorado State 31-6 -39.5
2012 Western Kentucky 35-0 -38
2012 Florida Atlantic 40-7 -48.5
2011 North Texas 41-0 -47
2009 Florida International 40-14 -33.5
2008 Tulane 20-6 -30

[divider]

RELATED: Recent History of Week 2 Upsets

split-fbo-6-23-25
Previous Post

FCS Mailbag: Is NC A&T a Top 5 Team? Who Should be Worried After Their Week 1 Performance?

Next Post

FCS: Meet Montana State Bobcat Greg “Munchie” Filer III

Next Post
FCS: Meet Montana State Bobcat Greg “Munchie” Filer III

FCS: Meet Montana State Bobcat Greg "Munchie" Filer III

No Result
View All Result

Recent Posts

  • 2025 FCS Jersey Countdown: The Best Returning Player For Each Number
  • 2025 FCS Top 25: No. 7 Montana Football Preview
  • When Is Week 0?

HERO Sports is the go-to website for FBS and FCS football news, analysis, and predictions.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US)
877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY)
1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR)

For new customer offers, Bonus Bets expire in seven days. One New Customer Offer only. Add'l terms. For existing customers, Bonus Bets expire in seven days. Add'l terms.

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Welcome Offer Bet $10, $150 in Bonus Bets

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER (AVAILABLE IN THE US). 21+ ONLY. CO, MI, NJ, PA, WV ONLY. PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY. SEE BETMGM.COM FOR TERMS. THIS PROMOTIONAL OFFER IS FOR NEW PLAYERS ONLY. SUBJECT TO ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS. BONUS BETS ARE NON-WITHDRAWABLE. US PROMOTIONAL OFFERS NOT AVAILABLE IN MISSISSIPPI, NEVADA, NEW YORK, ONTARIO AND PUERTO RICO.

  • About HERO Sports
  • Contact
  • Privacy Policy

© 2022 HERO SPORTS.

No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • FCS
    • FCS Home
    • Big South-OVC
    • Big Sky
    • CAA
    • Ivy
    • MEAC
    • MVFC
    • NEC
    • Patriot
    • Pioneer
    • SoCon
    • Southland
    • SWAC
    • UAC
  • FBS
    • FBS Home
    • AAC Football
    • CUSA Football
    • MAC Football
    • Mountain West Football
    • Sun Belt Football
  • College Basketball
  • Register at BetMGM
  • BetMGM Promotions
  • More
    • About HERO Sports
    • Contact

© 2022 HERO SPORTS.