Michigan is reeling a bit after the first two weeks of the season.
The Wolverines opened the 2024 campaign at home against Fresno State, a solid Group of Five team, in a back-and-forth contest until Michigan pulled away late. Then the Wolverines lost 31-12 against Texas, also at home, to drop to 17th in the AP Top 25 for Week 3.
Michigan is now looking forward to hosting Arkansas State, another G5 squad. This should be a decisive win for Michigan, but could the Wolverines be looking at an upset loss considering how the past couple weeks have transpired?
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Arkansas State vs. Michigan Betting Odds
Arkansas State is a +23.5 college football betting odds underdog against Michigan, with the Over/Under being 47.5.
The moneyline for Arkansas State is +1100, while it’s -2500 for Michigan.
Arkansas State vs. Michigan On TV
The matchup between Arkansas State and Michigan will be televised on Big Ten Network.
The game will kick off at noon ET on Saturday, Sept. 14. The contest is taking place at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan.
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Arkansas State vs. Michigan Prediction
I predict Michigan will win and cover the spread at -23.5. I also project the game will go Over 47.5 total points.
I know Michigan has proven to be far from the team it was a year ago when the Wolverines won the national championship. But I also think they’re better than some people think.
It’s early in the season, so Michigan could still be acclimating to how things are done with Sherrone Moore as the head coach. That would explain the slow start against Fresno State.
And I think Texas might be the best team in the country, so that would explain why Michigan couldn’t keep up.
Arkansas State, on the other hand, probably should’ve lost to Central Arkansas in what became a 34-31 win for the Red Wolves. Then they barely beat Tulsa at home in a 28-24 decision.
Michigan might be vulnerable, and maybe my prediction would be different if the Wolverines were facing a more complete G5 squad, but I think they are the better team in this matchup.