Ashton Jeanty NFL Draft: Betting Odds & Predictions For The Boise State RB’s Landing Spots

Whether it be because he’s a running back, or because he went to a Group of Five school, or because he just had one of the best seasons ever for a collegiate running back, projecting which team will take Ashton Jeanty in the 2025 NFL Draft hasn’t been easy.

There’s no doubt Jeanty is talented. He just ran for 2,601 yards in 2024.

But the discourse around spending money and draft capital on running backs has changed over the past few years, and some believe it’s more effective to use those resources on other positions.

Also, teams have become averse to drafting G5 players highly. Look no further than last year when Quinyon Mitchell of Toledo was clearly a great talent but still dropped to the 22nd overall pick when he was taken by Philadelphia. He went on to nearly win Defensive Rookie of the Year honors.

With that in mind, there’s several possibilities for Jeanty.

Ashton Jeanty Draft Odds Leaders

Ashton Jeanty Betting Odds For The First Overall Pick

Jeanty’s betting odds of being the first overall pick are +50000, per BetMGM. Those are also the odds for him to be the second overall selection.

The draft odds for the Boise State star running back to be picked third overall are +6600. The betting odds for him to be the fourth selection are +1500, while he has the fourth-best odds to be the fifth overall pick at +650.

Jeanty is the favorite to be selected sixth overall at -150.

Ashton Jeanty Betting Odds To Be The First Running Back Drafted

Jeanty is the heavy favorite to be the first running back selected in the 2025 NFL Draft at -5000. Omarion Hampton is second at +1100, while TreVeyon Henderson is third at +8000.

Ashton Jeanty/Raiders Possibility

The Raiders are the betting favorites to draft Ashton Jeanty at -130, and they’ve been one of the teams rumored to pick him for a while now.

Historically, the Raiders aren’t afraid to take big swings with their first-round draft picks. They also are willing to take running backs in the first round, as they picked Josh Jacobs 24th overall in 2019.

But I wonder how much a running back of any skill level would help the Raiders, who have the sixth overall pick, when they have so many other needs on their roster. They did just recently trade for Geno Smith, so they might not be looking to take a quarterback early. But going into Pete Carroll’s first season as the head coach, I’m expecting Las Vegas will look elsewhere for help at running back.

Ashton Jeanty/Bears Rumors

The Chicago Bears have the second-best odds to draft Ashton Jeanty at +240. They are a fascinating destination for the Boise State star running back.

The Bears’ most glaring need this offseason was their offensive line, as they badly needed help protecting quarterback Caleb Williams. But the Bears have mostly already taken care of that, as they signed center Drew Dalman and traded for interior O-lineman Jonah Jackson and All-Pro guard Joe Thuney. They also signed defensive tackle Grady Jarrett and defensive end Dayo Odeyingbo to help them up front on the defensive side.

That gives the Bears some flexibility with the 10th overall pick. A solid, dependable ground game would certainly help Williams, so I don’t discount the Bears taking Jeanty at all.

Ashton Jeanty To The Jaguars?

The Jaguars are tied for the third-best betting odds to draft Ashton Jeanty at +500. Since they have the fifth overall selection, that could be a good landing spot for him.

Jacksonville does need some additional offensive firepower to help out Trevor Lawrence, and the Jaguars were in the bottom seven in the NFL with 101.7 rushing yards per game.

But I don’t see running back being such a pressing need for the Jaguars that they need to go get another one this early. Travis Etienne, who rushed for over 1,000 yards in each of his first two seasons, is still only going into his fourth year in the league, and Tank Bigsby is also a fine contributor after he ran for 766 yards in 2024.

I think the Jaguars need help on defense more than they need another running back.

Ashton Jeanty To The Saints?

The Saints are tied with Jacksonville for the third-best NFL Draft odds to take Ashton Jeanty at +1200. New Orleans has the ninth overall selection, which is roughly in that range when many expect Jeanty to be taken.

I don’t think this would be a bad spot for the young Boise State running back at all. Him going to the Saints, which recently hired Boise State legend Kellen Moore to be their head coach, would certainly be a fascinating storyline.

But this would also be an interesting development because of Alvin Kamara, who will be 30 years old when the 2025 season begins. Though he’s been in the league for a while now, Kamara still recorded nearly 1,500 total yards last season. And it’s not like the Saints can easily cut him, as he has a dead cap hit of $28 million in 2025.

Could the Saints draft Jeanty and trade Kamara? Or maybe the Saints will involve both running backs in their offense so much that it makes sense to have two stars at the position.

Ashton Jeanty Mock Draft Projection

I predict Ashton Jeanty will be drafted by the Chicago Bears with the 10th overall pick.

The Bears make the most sense in terms of team need, where they’re at as a franchise overall, and where they’re drafting. Sure, anyone could trade up for Jeanty, but I don’t think he slips out of the top 10, and I believe the other teams drafting in that range have more glaring weaknesses right now.

New Bears head coach Ben Johnson heavily relied on the ground game to set up the passing attack for success when he was the offensive coordinator in Detroit. Prioritizing running back, especially when the Bears have already addressed so many other needs, just makes sense.