Week 5 was yet another Sunday where the NFL team that was the biggest underdog (Jacksonville) not only covered, but also won outright (over Pittsburgh).
Prepare for more upsets in week 6, but first let's look back at the good, the bad, and the downright ugly of last week.
The good: I told you to forget the plus 2.5 points and take the Green Bay moneyline against Dallas at plus 105. Thank you Aaron Rodgers.
The bad: I thought New York would win its first game of the year against winless San Diego, but I couldn't have anticipated four-fifths of the receivers leaving due to injury.
The ugly: How was Jay Cutler's 92 yards passing enough to upset Tennessee? How?
NFL odds for week 6 – let's do this.
[All spreads are courtesy of Sportsbook.ag. Lines fluctuate as bets are made, so check out their website for up-to-the-minute odds.]
Carolina Panthers -3 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
This line was -3.5 most of the week so keep an eye on it before kickoff as that "hook" (as it's often called) could be the difference between covering and pushing if you like the Eagles as much as I do.[divider]
Houston Texans -9.5 vs. Cleveland Browns
Goodbye DeShone Kizer, welcome Kevin Hogan, and hello to another Browns' blowout and failure to cover (second worse in the NFL at 1-4 ATS).
— Darren Rovell (@darrenrovell) October 11, 2017
New England Patriots -9.5 vs. New York Jets
Famous handicapper Danny Sheridan called it back in August: The New England Patriots will struggle to cover as the betting public continues to drive the lines up. Sure enough the Patriots failed to cover again last week at Tampa Bay, and this puppy against New York could jump up to plus 10 by kickoff.
I know it's hard to take the Jets over Brady, but let's ride this anti-New-England-betting bus until the wheels fall off.
Atlanta Falcons -11.5 vs. Miami Dolphins
Let me try this for the third week in a row: This is the weekend an uninspired Jay Cutler gets hurt.
But even if he doesn't, throwing for under 100 yards won't get it done on the road against an explosive Falcons offense.
Bet Atlanta hard.
— Division 6 Bound® (@Division6Bound) October 10, 2017
New Orleans Saints -4.5 vs. Detroit Lions
There's something fishy about this line considering the Saints are 29 out of 32 teams in total defense, but then again Lions QB Matt Stafford is banged up. If he can't go, Detroit will hand the reigns to former Michigan QB Jake Rudock.
Green Bay Packers -3.5 at Minnesota Vikings
Go with Rodgers until the man proves otherwise.
Baltimore Ravens -6.5 vs. Chicago Bears
This feels like a field-goal fest with the Bears losing by 6. I'd give them a fighting chance to win outright if their receivers could actually hang onto the ball.
Washington Redskins -10 vs. San Francisco 49ers
Say what you want about the 49ers, but they were an overtime win against the Colts last week from going 4-1 ATS. I think the Redskins will sleep on them for yet another San Francisco cover (and loss).
Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5 vs. Los Angeles Rams
Who would've thought at the start of the season that this would be a game worth watching on a Sunday afternoon?
I like the Jags and Leonard Fournette to stay hot with runs like this.
Leonard Fournette. 90 yards. See ya. pic.twitter.com/qKoohiHRP6
— ESPN (@espn) October 8, 2017
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2 at Arizona Cardinals
For a team ranked dead last in rushing yards by a landslide, I'm not sure the recent trade for Adrian Peterson is going to make much of a difference.
Kansas City Chiefs -4 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The only team perfect against the spread makes it 6-0 after drubbing the Steelers in Arrowhead this Sunday.
Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders, No Line
There's no line yet as we await to hear if Derek Carr will return as the Raiders starting QB.
Denver Broncos -12 vs. New York Giants
The question here is simple: Who in the world is Eli Manning going to throw the ball to?
The Denver defense is my best guess. Take the Broncos to win big.
— The Full Court Press (@tfcpblog) October 4, 2017
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans, No Line
There's no line yet for Monday Night Football until it becomes clear if Marcus Mariota will be back behind center for the Titans.