Entering Week 11 in 2014, Auburn was 7-1 and No. 3 in the College Football Playoff Rankings. With a loss to unranked Texas A&M at home, the Tigers were one of four top-10 teams to lose that week and are among a large group of top-10 teams who've lost in Week 11 during the playoff era.
Sixteen top-10 teams have lost in Week 11 in the playoff era — four in each season. Of those 16, five have lost to top-10 teams, but more teams — nine — have lost to unranked teams. At least one top-10 team has lost to an unranked team in Week 11 since 2014, including the bloodbath of 2016 that featured four top-10 losses to unranked teams. A year earlier, three top-10 teams lost to unranked foes in Week 11.
|2014||No. 3 Auburn||vs. Texas A&M|
|2014||No. 7 Kansas State||at No. 6 TCU|
|2014||No. 8 Michigan State||vs. No. 14 Ohio State|
|2014||No. 10 Notre Dame||at No. 9 Arizona State|
|2015||No. 6 Baylor||vs. No. 12 Oklahoma|
|2015||No. 7 Stanford||vs. Oregon|
|2015||No. 9 LSU||vs. Arkansas|
|2015||No. 10 Utah||at Arizona|
|2016||No. 2 Clemson||vs. Pittsburgh|
|2016||No. 3 Michigan||at Iowa|
|2016||No. 9 Auburn||at Georgia|
|2016||No. 10 Texas A&M||vs. Ole Miss|
|2017||No. 1 Georgia||at No. 10 Auburn|
|2017||No. 3 Notre Dame||at No. 7 Miami (FL)|
|2017||No. 6 TCU||at No. 5 Oklahoma|
|2017||No. 9 Washington||at Stanford|
Will it happen again in 2018? Will four top-10 teams get upset?
All top-10 teams play on Saturday:
|1||Alabama||vs. No. 16 Mississippi State|
|2||Clemson||at No. 17 Boston College|
|3||Notre Dame||vs. Florida State|
|5||Georgia||vs. No. 24 Auburn|
|6||Oklahoma||vs. Oklahoma State|
|8||Washington State||at Colorado|
|9||West Virginia||vs. TCU|
|10||Ohio State||at No. 18 Michigan State|
All 10 teams are favored, and, for what it's worth, as of Thursday, Ohio State (-3.5) is the least favored, followed by Washington State (-6), West Virginia (-11.5), LSU (-13.5) and Georgia (-14).
If the trend continues — basically, if we're forced to pick four upsets — let's take Boston College, Arkansas, Colorado and Michigan State to win. However, it's highly unlikely that four top-10 teams will lose in Week 11 for a fourth straight season.
Actual prediction: No top-10 teams will lose and all nine playoff-contending teams will remain alive entering Week 12.